The short answer is, of course, “yes,” but there’s more to the story. So pull up a chair, get cozy, and allow us to answer the far more important question: How accurate are we?

The math doesn't lie: AirDNA is right on the money

AirDNA is the leading provider of data and analytics for the $126 billion vacation rental industry. We track the daily performance of over 10 million Airbnb and Vrbo properties across 120,000 global markets and incorporate this data into game-changing intelligence trusted by hosts, managers, investors, and analysts around the world.

Our track record speaks for itself. We have consistently estimated Airbnb’s actual revenue with 95% to 99% accuracy. This is why you can always act confidently on pricing estimates from AirDNA tools, like our Airbnb revenue calculator, Rentalizer™.

How accurate is AirDNA?

Here's how close our predictions were to Airbnb's reported numbers for Q3 2023.

Total Nights Booked

Airbnb report: 113.2 million (+14% year over year)

AirDNA estimate: 113.2 million (+14% year over year)

Gross Booking Value

Airbnb report: $18.3 billion (+17% year over year)

AirDNA estimate: $18.4 billion (+18% year over year)

Revenue

Airbnb report: $3.4 billion (+18% year over year)

AirDNA estimate: $3.35 billion (+15.4% year over year)

Active Listings

Airbnb report: +19% year over year in Q3 2023

AirDNA estimate: +18.1% in Q3 2023 

Booked Average Daily Rate (ADR)

Airbnb report: +3.3% year over year in Q3 2023

AirDNA estimate: +4.5% year over year in Q3 2023 

How do we make accurate estimates and recommendations?

When we talk about “accurate data,” we mean data with the smallest-possible margin of error. And by this measure, AirDNA is consistently proven to be the most reliable source of vacation rental data available.

We take pride in continually benchmarking our data sets against those shared through Airbnb’s routine financial filings. The bottom line: AirDNA data matches Airbnb’s with 94.9% accuracy and Vrbo’s with 98.7% accuracy. 

For example, our Q1 2022 estimates across all major financial metrics were within 98.8% accuracy when compared against Airbnb’s public filings. 

Why this metric matters: It means you can act confidently when making important investment decisions with calculator tools like Rentalizer™. It also means you can trust rates and occupancy benchmarking tools like My Properties to stay ahead of your competition. 

How do we achieve accuracy?

Every day, our talented team of Ph.D.-toting data scientists is carefully sourcing, verifying, and analyzing granular property data from the most diverse set of data sources (not just first-party property data):

• 35,000 individual hosts
• 10 million Airbnb and Vrbo listings
• 1.1 million channel and property management software managers

This proprietary recipe of publicly sourced and privately licensed data ensures, through cross-referencing, we weed out any inconsistencies and always deliver data sets with the tiniest-possible margins of error. No matter the context.

This helps you answer really important questions like: 

• How will a property appreciate or depreciate over time?
• Do self-managed properties perform better than professionally managed ones?
• Who are the best property managers in a given city?

(See our How It Works page for an in-depth understanding of our rigorous methodology and algorithmic technologies. Aka: where our data comes from, why, and how.)

Accuracy for hosts and property managers

Whether you’re a first-time host or a seasoned property manager, you need actionable insights you can trust. You need to know how much your property can earn, as well as when and why you should adjust your rates. And there’s no room for surprises along the way; this is why historical and future pacing data are critical to your financial success. 

Want to find out just how accurate we really are? Put our tools to the test for yourself. Hosts can connect their properties to AirDNA to unlock custom pricing recommendations via Smart Rates™, and property managers can use our Property Performance Dashboard to create custom comp sets that allow you to quickly spot similarities and differences with your top competitors, all in the name of boosting your bottom line.

Accuracy for investors, lenders, agents, and financial institutions

AirDNA helps you understand where, when, and why to invest. We recommend starting with Rentalizer™, our industry-leading Airbnb calculator. You can enter any address in the world to find out exactly how much it’d earn as a vacation rental. Our annual Best Places to Invest reports are based on the same source of truth—our ever-improving data set methodically fine-tuned by the smartest data scientists. Business leaders around the globe trust our Investor Scores when choosing their next venture because of the granularity with which they consider demand, pricing trends, local regulations, and more.

AirDNA versus the competition

We’ve been gathering vacation rental data since before it was cool.

No, literally—no one else in the vacation rental space has nearly a decade of historical data like we do. Combined with licensed data from our private partners, the comprehensive nature of AirDNA data is unmatched.

AirDNA meticulously sources data from both Airbnb and Vrbo. This fact might sound trivial, but it isn’t. Because any data providers solely relying on metrics from Airbnb or property managers are missing up to 50% of listings in most markets.

If you want to know just how accurate we really are—plug your address into Rentalizer™ and find out firsthand.

Researching or managing Airbnb-style properties is no simple task. Time is precious, and money is always on the line. We not only appreciate these stakes; they’re why we exist.

(See our Case Studies archive for real-world examples of how entrepreneurs just like you scaled their businesses with AirDNA data.)