Hotels vs. Short-Term Rentals with Issac Callazo
In this week's episode, Jamie sits down with Isaac Collazo, VP of Analytics at STR. Isaac is a veteran in the hotel industry and has worked for various major hotel brands over the years. The two discuss the differences between hotels and short-term rental companies, as well as their future prospects.
Isaac notes that the hotel industry is starting to normalize, with metrics approaching their 2019 levels. Demand is only 1.6% lower year-to-date compared to 2019, and daily room bookings are just under 3.6 million, similar to figures from that year. Occupancy stands at 63%, rate growth is returning to normal, and seasonal travel patterns are resurfacing. Although outbound U.S. travel currently exceeds inbound travel and business travel hasn't fully recovered, the trends are positive.
A major concern on everyone's mind is the potential impact of a recession. Isaac believes that due to current interest rates, we may see limited supply growth over the next 3-4 years. While he anticipates a slowdown in business travel, he doesn't expect it to decline significantly. Even in the event of a recession, Isaac's forecast still predicts an increase in RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) for the next three years.
The industry is ever-changing, but Jamie and Isaac share their forecasts for the future of both vacation sectors.
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